低碳经济下城市能源需求与碳排放情景分析 以河南省济源市为例 ( Scenario analysis of urban energy demand and carbon emission in the context of lowcarbon economy: the case of Jiyuan in Henan province)

This brief is submitted in the Chinese language. The full brief could be accessed through the below link. Your comments could be in either English or Chinese.

摘要  
以低碳经济为背景,探讨城市在能源和碳排放约束条件下未来的可能发展路径,将河南省济源市作为研究开展的案例城 市,基于情景分析法和“脱钩”概念,展示了济源市的低碳发展图景。认为:第一,济源市的能源需求若保持现有高速增长趋势是不 可取的,低碳情景下和强化低碳情景下能源需求总量和增速有明显改善;第二,尽管在最严格的情景下,济源市的人均能耗预测值仍 然高于国际国内其他城市的预测,但由于其资源禀赋特征等问题,还是存在着一定挑战;第三,济源市的经济增长依靠工业生产拉 动,对于工业占比为绝对主导的这类城市而言,发展低碳经济的着力点和潜力释放应在传统产业格局的升级改造上。

https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/6101GSDR%20Brief%2034CN.pdf

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